Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins Top Bet |
48%
±12%
|
2.12 | +1.6% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.45 | -6.3% |
| Burnley wins |
25%
±10%
|
3.20 | -20.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Swansea
Burnley
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Swansea
Burnley
Shots
7.5
8.0
Shots On Target
2.5
5.0
Corners
3.8
4.8
Fouls
10.5
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Swansea Wins
0Draws
0Burnley Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Burnley Win | 0:2 | English Championship |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Burnley Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 2 Jan 2023 | Burnley Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Burnley Win | 4:0 | English Championship |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | Southampton | 3:1 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Wrexham | - | - |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Watford | 2:0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Derby | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sheffield United | - | - |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bristol City | - | - |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Norwich | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | West Brom | - | - |