Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins Top Bet |
43%
±11%
|
2.52 | +9.1% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.24 | -11.2% |
| Alverca wins |
29%
±9%
|
2.64 | -23.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Alverca
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Alverca
Shots
13.5
9.0
Shots On Target
4.5
4.0
Corners
3.0
5.0
Fouls
17.0
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
1Draws
0Alverca Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Nacional Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Alverca Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Estoril | - | - |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | - | - |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sp Braga | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Porto | - | - |