Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht wins |
46%
±11%
|
2.98 | +35.4% |
| Excelsior wins |
28%
±10%
|
2.23 | -38.1% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.68 | -2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Excelsior
Utrecht
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Excelsior
Utrecht
Shots
11.2
15.3
Shots On Target
4.5
6.3
Corners
4.3
7.8
Fouls
11.7
7.3
Yellow Cards
0.8
0.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Excelsior Wins
1Draws
2Utrecht Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Excelsior Win | 5:0 | Eredivisie |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Utrecht Win | 4:1 | Eredivisie |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Eredivisie |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | Eredivisie |
| 25 Jan 2023 | Utrecht Win | 1:0 | Eredivisie |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | Nijmegen | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Willem II | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | - | - |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cambuur | - | - |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Groningen | - | - |