Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins Top Bet |
41%
±13%
|
2.65 | +9.3% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.35 | -8.2% |
| Estoril wins |
31%
±11%
|
2.53 | -20.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Estoril
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Estoril
Shots
14.5
10.5
Shots On Target
4.2
3.2
Corners
5.2
4.0
Fouls
15.0
15.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
0Draws
2Estoril Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Estoril Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Estoril Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 2:0 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Santa Clara | 2:0 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | AVS | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Tondela | 0:2 | W |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Famalicao | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Benfica | 1:3 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Alverca | 1:1 | D |
| 3 May 2026 | Sp Braga | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Famalicao | 0:1 | L |