Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins Top Bet |
74%
±7%
|
1.21 | -10.2% |
| Casa Pia wins |
8%
±4%
|
12.00 | -1.3% |
| Draw |
18%
±3%
|
6.13 | +7.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Benfica
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Casa Pia
Benfica
Shots
6.9
18.0
Shots On Target
2.2
5.6
Corners
2.9
9.4
Fouls
12.2
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Casa Pia Wins
1Draws
3Benfica Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Casa Pia Win | 3:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Benfica Win | 3:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Benfica Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 11 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Tondela | 0:1 | L |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | Academico Viseu | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Académico de Viseu | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Estoril | 1:3 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Famalicao | 2:2 | D |