Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Koln wins |
41%
±10%
|
2.44 | +0.4% |
| Hamburg wins |
30%
±9%
|
2.53 | -23.9% |
| Draw |
29%
±1%
|
3.45 | -0.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamburg
FC Koln
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamburg
FC Koln
Shots
9.8
16.5
Shots On Target
4.2
4.2
Corners
3.2
5.5
Fouls
12.5
13.5
Yellow Cards
3.2
2.8
Red Cards
0.5
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamburg Wins
2Draws
1FC Koln Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
| 2 Nov 2025 | FC Koln Win | 4:1 | Bundesliga |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Hamburg Win | 1:0 | Bundesliga |
| 2 Aug 2024 | Hamburg Win | 1:2 | Bundesliga |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | RB Leipzig | - | - |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Mainz | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Dortmund | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Leverkusen | 1:1 | D |
| 10 May 2026 | Freiburg | 3:2 | W |
FC Koln - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Werder Bremen | - | - |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Stuttgart | 4:1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hoffenheim | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim | 3:2 | W |
| 16 May 2026 | Bayern Munich | 5:1 | L |