Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin wins |
41%
±12%
|
2.00 | -17.0% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.45 | -1.7% |
| Stranraer wins |
30%
±10%
|
3.05 | -8.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Elgin
Stranraer
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Elgin
Stranraer
Shots
10.5
8.1
Shots On Target
4.7
3.6
Corners
5.2
5.3
Fouls
11.7
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Elgin Wins
5Draws
2Stranraer Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Stranraer Win | 0:1 | Scottish League Two |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Elgin Win | 1:2 | Scottish League Two |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Stranraer Win | 1:2 | Scottish League Two |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Elgin Win | 3:0 | Scottish League Two |
Elgin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Annan Athletic | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Dumbarton | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stirling | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Spartans | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Kelty Hearts | - | - |
Stranraer - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Dumbarton | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Forfar | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Kelty Hearts | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Stirling | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Spartans | - | - |