Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins Top Bet |
43%
±12%
|
2.01 | -13.4% |
| Nacional wins |
30%
±11%
|
3.60 | +7.9% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.35 | -10.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Famalicao
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Famalicao
Shots
11.7
15.7
Shots On Target
4.7
4.3
Corners
4.2
6.5
Fouls
18.2
13.8
Yellow Cards
3.3
2.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
2Draws
1Famalicao Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Famalicao Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Famalicao Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Nacional Win | 2:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 16 May 2021 | Famalicao Win | 3:0 | Primeira Liga |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Alverca | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Estoril | - | - |
Famalicao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | - | - |