Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins |
49%
±12%
|
1.74 | -14.5% |
| Draw |
26%
±3%
|
3.60 | -6.1% |
| Casa Pia wins |
25%
±10%
|
4.48 | +10.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estoril
Casa Pia
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estoril
Casa Pia
Shots
12.1
12.1
Shots On Target
3.3
4.0
Corners
4.7
4.4
Fouls
13.3
14.1
Yellow Cards
3.1
3.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estoril Wins
3Draws
4Casa Pia Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Draw | 0:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 29 Apr 2025 | Estoril Win | 1:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 28 Apr 2025 | - | - | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 0:2 | Primeira Liga |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026 | Sp Braga | - | - |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Arouca | - | - |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Benfica | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Rio Ave | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Nacional | - | - |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Porto | - | - |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Benfica | - | - |