Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
44%
±12%
|
2.45 | +8.0% |
| Porto wins |
33%
±11%
|
2.68 | -10.9% |
| Draw |
23%
±1%
|
3.35 | -24.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Porto
Benfica
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Porto
Benfica
Shots
11.0
10.2
Shots On Target
4.2
3.2
Corners
4.6
5.1
Fouls
13.8
15.0
Yellow Cards
4.4
4.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Porto Wins
4Draws
2Benfica Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Benfica Win | 1:4 | Primeira Liga |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Benfica Win | 4:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 3 Mar 2024 | Porto Win | 5:0 | Primeira Liga |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Casa Pia | - | - |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Academico Viseu | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Académico de Viseu | 0:3 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Arouca | - | - |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Maritimo | - | - |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Estoril | - | - |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Casa Pia | - | - |