Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nijmegen wins |
71%
±9%
|
1.50 | +6.4% |
| Draw |
18%
±4%
|
4.51 | -18.7% |
| Excelsior wins |
11%
±5%
|
5.32 | -41.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nijmegen
Excelsior
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nijmegen
Excelsior
Shots
14.3
8.5
Shots On Target
6.8
4.2
Corners
5.0
4.3
Fouls
8.7
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nijmegen Wins
4Draws
1Excelsior Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Nijmegen Win | 0:2 | Eredivisie |
| 9 Aug 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 5:0 | Eredivisie |
| 6 May 2024 | Nijmegen Win | 0:3 | Eredivisie |
| 13 Aug 2023 | Excelsior Win | 3:4 | Eredivisie |
| 19 Feb 2023 | Nijmegen Win | 0:3 | Eredivisie |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Feyenoord | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Zwolle | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Willem II | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Telstar | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | SC Telstar | - | - |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Willem II | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | - | - |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cambuur | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2:3 | W |