Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer wins |
51%
±11%
|
1.53 | -23.0% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
4.05 | +9.6% |
| Dumbarton wins |
22%
±8%
|
4.90 | +9.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stranraer
Dumbarton
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stranraer
Dumbarton
Shots
9.2
8.6
Shots On Target
3.6
3.5
Corners
4.9
5.2
Fouls
7.4
6.9
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stranraer Wins
2Draws
4Dumbarton Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish League Two |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Dumbarton Win | 2:0 | Scottish League Two |
| 14 Feb 2026 | - | - | Scottish League Two |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish League Two |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Stranraer Win | 1:2 | Scottish League Two |
Stranraer - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Forfar | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Kelty Hearts | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Stirling | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Spartans | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Annan Athletic | - | - |
Dumbarton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Elgin | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Annan Athletic | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Kelty Hearts | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Edinburgh City | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Clyde | - | - |