Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova wins |
40%
±10%
|
2.05 | -18.5% |
| Draw |
30%
±2%
|
3.20 | -3.0% |
| Empoli wins |
30%
±9%
|
3.50 | +4.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mantova
Empoli
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mantova
Empoli
Shots
14.0
12.0
Shots On Target
4.0
5.0
Corners
5.0
6.0
Fouls
17.0
16.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mantova Wins
0Draws
1Empoli Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Draw | 2:2 | Serie B |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Empoli Win | 0:1 | Serie B |
Mantova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Carrarese | - | - |
| 8 May 2026 | Frosinone | 5:0 | L |
| 1 May 2026 | Monza | 3:2 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Sudtirol | 0:3 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Avellino | 0:2 | L |
Empoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cremonese | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cremonese | - | - |
| 8 May 2026 | Monza | 2:2 | D |
| 1 May 2026 | Avellino | 1:0 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Venezia | 2:0 | L |