Portsmouth vs Derby
Final Result
0:2
Derby to win
Our Prediction
Missed
41%
Portsmouth to win
±13%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins |
41%
±13%
|
2.19 | -10.5% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.30 | -10.4% |
| Derby wins |
32%
±12%
|
3.25 | +3.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Portsmouth
Derby
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Portsmouth
Derby
Shots
11.4
12.1
Shots On Target
3.9
4.2
Corners
5.4
4.5
Fouls
11.2
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Portsmouth Wins
0Draws
6Derby Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | Derby Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | English Championship |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Derby Win | 4:0 | English Championship |
| 2 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | English Championship |
Portsmouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Bristol City | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Lincoln | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | QPR | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Stoke | 1:3 | W |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Swansea | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cardiff | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Charlton | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | QPR | 2:3 | W |