Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins |
45%
±13%
|
1.87 | -15.0% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.60 | -1.1% |
| Watford wins |
27%
±11%
|
3.95 | +7.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Swansea
Watford
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Swansea
Watford
Shots
12.4
10.7
Shots On Target
3.8
3.2
Corners
6.0
4.3
Fouls
9.5
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Swansea Wins
5Draws
2Watford Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Swansea Win | 0:2 | English Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 12 Mar 2025 | Watford Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Swansea Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 6 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Derby | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sheffield United | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Stoke | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Charlton | 3:1 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Norwich | 1:1 | D |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | West Ham | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Wrexham | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Southampton | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Coventry | 0:4 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Middlesbrough | 5:1 | L |