Burnley vs Middlesbrough
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
54%
Middlesbrough to win
±10%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins |
54%
±10%
|
2.41 | +31.1% |
| Burnley wins |
20%
±8%
|
2.74 | -44.7% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.46 | -11.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Shots
11.2
7.8
Shots On Target
3.2
3.8
Corners
5.2
1.5
Fouls
10.8
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
2Draws
2Middlesbrough Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Burnley Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 17 Dec 2022 | Burnley Win | 3:1 | English Championship |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Norwich | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | West Brom | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | West Ham | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Wolves | 1:1 | D |
| 18 May 2026 | Arsenal | 1:0 | L |
Middlesbrough - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | West Brom | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Blackburn | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Lincoln | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Wrexham | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Watford | 5:1 | W |