Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr wins |
46%
±13%
|
1.65 | -24.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±3%
|
3.50 | -0.4% |
| Morton wins |
26%
±10%
|
4.58 | +18.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ayr
Morton
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ayr
Morton
Shots
10.8
7.7
Shots On Target
4.0
3.3
Corners
6.2
3.3
Fouls
13.8
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ayr Wins
2Draws
5Morton Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Morton Win | 0:1 | Scottish Championship |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish Championship |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ayr Win | 2:1 | Scottish Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Scottish Championship |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Morton Win | 2:1 | Scottish Championship |
Ayr - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Raith Rvs | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Dunfermline | - | - |
| 1 May 2026 | St Johnstone | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Airdrie Utd | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Ross County | 2:1 | L |
Morton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Arbroath | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Stenhousemuir | - | - |
| 1 May 2026 | Airdrie Utd | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Ross County | 4:0 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Queens Park | 0:0 | D |