Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy wins |
70.48%
±21.52%
|
1.54 | +8.4% |
| Draw |
18.07%
±8.42%
|
4.00 | -27.7% |
| Turkey wins |
11.45%
±13.11%
|
4.86 | -44.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Italy
Turkey
Head-to-Head History
Italy Wins
3Draws
1Turkey Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | Italy Win | 1:4 |
| 4 Jun 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Italy Win | 2:3 |
| 11 Jun 2021 | Italy Win | 0:3 |
Italy - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | France | - | - |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Turkey | 1:4 | W |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Belgium | - | - |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Switzerland | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Jun 2024 | Croatia | 1:1 | D |
Turkey - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | Belgium | - | - |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Italy | 1:4 | L |
| 25 Sep 2026 | France | - | - |
| 26 Jun 2026 | USA | 3:2 | W |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Paraguay | 0:1 | L |