Exeter
Model-driven team analysis based on ratings, recent form, and match history.
Recent rating change: -0.2
Model Rating & Ranking
Current strength and league standing according to our model
Strength estimates the team’s win probability against a reference opponent. It is not the probability of winning its next match.
Rating
28.11
Uncertainty
±8.4
Rating Change
-0.2
Last updated 10 Oct 2026
How strong is Exeter?
See where the team ranks in our model-based strength table.
| # | Team | Rating | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 76.74 | ±5.6 |
| 2 | Carlisle | 75.97 | ±5.8 |
| 3 | Harrogate | 75.05 | ±6.1 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 72.97 | ±6.5 |
| 5 | Barrow | 71.12 | ±6.8 |
| 6 | Sutton | 66.44 | ±7.5 |
| 7 | Scunthorpe | 64.26 | ±7.8 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 61.73 | ±8.1 |
| 9 | Morecambe | 59.47 | ±8.6 |
| 10 | Stockport | 52.77 | ±9.4 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 48.77 | ±9.7 |
| 12 | York | 46.89 | ±10.0 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 46.79 | ±9.6 |
| 14 | Salford | 45.74 | ±9.6 |
| 15 | Barnet | 44.39 | ±9.6 |
| 16 | Grimsby | 41.62 | ±9.7 |
| 17 | Bradford | 41.40 | ±9.4 |
| 18 | Bristol Rvs | 41.24 | ±9.6 |
| 19 | Oldham | 37.07 | ±9.4 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 36.74 | ±9.3 |
| 21 | Cambridge | 36.14 | ±9.3 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 35.10 | ±9.3 |
| 23 | Mansfield | 34.82 | ±9.2 |
| 24 | Wrexham | 34.16 | ±9.1 |
| 25 | Stevenage | 34.11 | ±9.1 |
| 26 | Milton Keynes Dons | 33.22 | ±9.1 |
| 27 | Fleetwood Town | 32.96 | ±9.2 |
| 28 | Walsall | 32.85 | ±9.1 |
| 29 | Northampton | 32.43 | ±9.0 |
| 30 | Rotherham | 31.76 | ±8.9 |
| 31 | Colchester | 31.75 | ±8.9 |
| 32 | Notts County | 31.47 | ±8.9 |
| 33 | Crewe | 31.33 | ±8.9 |
| 34 | Leyton Orient | 30.80 | ±8.8 |
| 35 | Tranmere | 30.05 | ±9.0 |
| 36 | Shrewsbury | 28.15 | ±8.6 |
| 37 | Exeter | 28.11 | ±8.4 |
| 38 | Bolton | 27.60 | ±8.3 |
| 39 | Accrington | 27.25 | ±8.3 |
| 40 | Gillingham | 26.43 | ±8.2 |
| 41 | AFC Wimbledon | 25.85 | ±8.1 |
| 42 | Newport County | 24.74 | ±8.0 |
| 43 | Swindon | 24.52 | ±8.0 |
| 44 | Cheltenham | 24.39 | ±7.9 |
| 45 | Rochdale | 23.85 | ±7.7 |
| 46 | Bromley | 23.31 | ±7.8 |
| 47 | Crawley Town | 22.77 | ±7.8 |
| 48 | Macclesfield | 18.91 | ±6.7 |
Rating History
Rating trend over the season with uncertainty band
Shaded area represents rating uncertainty (±8.4).
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from the team's recent matches
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score (H–A) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Shrewsbury (Away) | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Oct | Rotherham (Home) | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Bristol Rvs (Away) | 1:0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Tranmere (Home) | 0:0 | D |
| 12 Sep | Port Vale (Away) | 1:0 | L |
Performance Summary
Win Rate
40%
Last 5 matches
Goals For
2
Last 5 matches
Goals Against
2
Last 5 matches
Form Trend
Falling
-0.2 rating pts
Model Uncertainty
±8.4
Lower is more certain
Insights, Not Guarantees
Our AI model provides probability-based insights to inform your analysis. Predictions are never certain, sports outcomes are inherently unpredictable, and winnings are never guaranteed.If you are using our services to gamble, seek help at BeGambleAware.org.