AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen
Final Result
1:3
Nijmegen to win
Our Prediction
Missed
47.3%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±15%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
47.29%
±14.96%
|
1.81 | -14.4% |
| Draw |
27.52%
±3.43%
|
4.15 | +14.2% |
| Nijmegen wins |
25.2%
±11.88%
|
3.80 | -4.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen
Shots
14.2
15.2
Shots On Target
5.9
6.3
Corners
5.9
5.7
Fouls
10.1
11.3
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen
Shots
16.9
9.4
Shots On Target
6.4
3.2
Corners
7.0
3.2
Fouls
9.2
8.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
4Draws
3Nijmegen Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 2:1 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:0 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 0:3 |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Nijmegen Win | 1:2 |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Excelsior | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 3:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 4:3 | L |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | NAC Breda | 3:4 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Ajax | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Volendam | 2:3 | W |