AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht
Final Result
4:1
AZ Alkmaar to win
Our Prediction
Correct
50.7%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±14.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
50.68%
±14.87%
|
1.61 | -18.7% |
| Draw |
27.05%
±4.04%
|
4.33 | +17.1% |
| Utrecht wins |
22.27%
±11.1%
|
4.90 | +9.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
Shots
18.1
15.9
Shots On Target
5.9
5.8
Corners
5.9
5.7
Fouls
12.0
9.9
Yellow Cards
3.4
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
Shots
13.2
13.3
Shots On Target
5.8
5.2
Corners
4.9
5.9
Fouls
9.4
9.7
Yellow Cards
0.9
1.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
2Draws
6Utrecht Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Utrecht Win | 1:2 |
| 19 May 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Draw | 5:5 |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:1 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Feyenoord | 3:3 | D |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Volendam | 3:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 3:2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Groningen | 0:1 | L |