Eredivisie 11 Sep 2026 15:00 Match Finished

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

Our Prediction Missed
79.3% AZ Alkmaar to win

±8.6%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
AZ Alkmaar wins
79.33% ±8.61%
1.13 -10.3%
Draw Top Bet Landed
14.92% ±4.8%
8.36 +24.8%
Willem II wins
5.75% ±3.86%
15.17 -12.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

AZ Alkmaar
Willem II

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
Shots 19.0 12.5
Shots On Target 7.1 2.5
Corners 7.4 4.8
Fouls 10.2 10.8
Yellow Cards 0.8 1.0
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
Shots 17.4 8.9
Shots On Target 4.4 3.6
Corners 6.1 2.4
Fouls 8.9 8.9
Yellow Cards 1.1 1.7
Red Cards 0.1 0.3

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

AZ Alkmaar Wins

4

Draws

1

Willem II Wins

2
Date Result Score
2 Feb 2025 AZ Alkmaar Win 0:2
10 Nov 2024 Willem II Win 1:2
20 Mar 2022 Draw 2:2
18 Dec 2021 AZ Alkmaar Win 4:1
3 Apr 2021 AZ Alkmaar Win 0:1

AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
6 Sep 2026 Heerenveen 2:3 W
29 Aug 2026 Go Ahead Eagles 5:2 W
22 Aug 2026 For Sittard 0:2 W
15 Aug 2026 Utrecht 1:4 W
8 Aug 2026 Den Haag 2:0 W

Willem II - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
5 Sep 2026 Excelsior 0:3 L
30 Aug 2026 Heerenveen 2:2 D
15 Aug 2026 Nijmegen 1:4 L
8 Aug 2026 Go Ahead Eagles 4:1 L
18 May 2025 NAC Breda 1:1 D