Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves wins |
34.57%
±13.66%
|
2.58 | -11.0% |
| Draw |
31.31%
±1.82%
|
3.05 | -4.5% |
| Celta wins |
34.12%
±12.87%
|
2.90 | -1.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alaves
Celta
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alaves
Celta
Shots
11.6
12.0
Shots On Target
3.5
4.0
Corners
5.4
4.5
Fouls
15.5
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alaves
Celta
Shots
10.6
8.9
Shots On Target
4.3
4.1
Corners
4.8
3.8
Fouls
12.1
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alaves Wins
1Draws
2Celta Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Celta Win | 2:1 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Alaves Win | 3:0 |
| 28 Sep 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 7 May 2022 | Celta Win | 4:0 |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Girona | 1:0 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Espanol | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Vallecano | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Valencia | 0:0 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Elche | 3:1 | W |
Celta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Barcelona | 2:4 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Levante | 1:2 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Osasuna | 2:3 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Sociedad | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Ath Madrid | 1:1 | D |