Alaves vs Real Madrid
Final Result
1:2
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
66.2%
Real Madrid to win
±11.1%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves wins |
9.79%
±6.24%
|
5.38 | -47.4% |
| Draw |
23.98%
±4.97%
|
4.00 | -4.1% |
| Real Madrid wins |
66.23%
±11.06%
|
1.61 | +6.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alaves
Real Madrid
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alaves
Real Madrid
Shots
12.7
20.1
Shots On Target
3.3
7.1
Corners
5.6
6.5
Fouls
16.2
9.8
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alaves
Real Madrid
Shots
11.4
16.2
Shots On Target
4.4
7.4
Corners
3.0
5.1
Fouls
14.4
7.8
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alaves Wins
1Draws
0Real Madrid Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Real Madrid Win | 3:2 |
| 14 May 2024 | Real Madrid Win | 5:0 |
| 21 Dec 2023 | Real Madrid Win | 0:1 |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Real Madrid Win | 3:0 |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sociedad | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Barcelona | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Celta | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Girona | 1:0 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Espanol | 2:1 | W |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Celta | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 0:3 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Girona | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Elche | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Vallecano | 0:0 | D |