Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves wins |
41.61%
±14.47%
|
2.25 | -6.4% |
| Draw |
30.39%
±2.85%
|
3.05 | -7.3% |
| Valencia wins |
28%
±12.12%
|
3.50 | -2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alaves
Valencia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alaves
Valencia
Shots
11.2
10.5
Shots On Target
3.8
3.2
Corners
6.5
5.5
Fouls
16.8
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alaves
Valencia
Shots
10.4
9.5
Shots On Target
2.9
3.1
Corners
3.8
5.0
Fouls
15.8
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alaves Wins
4Draws
4Valencia Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2025 | Alaves Win | 1:0 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 5 May 2024 | Alaves Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Alaves Win | 1:0 |
| 13 Feb 2022 | Alaves Win | 2:1 |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Elche | 3:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Mallorca | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Sevilla | 1:2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 0:1 | W |
Valencia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Girona | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Oviedo | 1:2 | L |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Oviedo | - | - |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Espanol | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 2:0 | W |