Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria wins |
54.14%
±14.58%
|
1.69 | -8.5% |
| Draw |
23.72%
±3.79%
|
3.65 | -13.4% |
| Ceuta wins |
22.15%
±11.02%
|
4.48 | -0.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Almeria
Ceuta
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Almeria
Ceuta
Shots
14.4
13.0
Shots On Target
5.4
5.3
Corners
3.9
4.9
Fouls
14.4
14.2
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Almeria
Ceuta
Shots
15.0
10.0
Shots On Target
6.0
7.0
Corners
2.0
2.0
Fouls
15.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
5.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Almeria Wins
0Draws
0Ceuta Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | Ceuta Win | 3:2 |
Almeria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Eibar | 1:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | La Coruna | 1:2 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Mirandes | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Granada | 3:2 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Malaga | 2:1 | L |
Ceuta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Cultural Leonesa | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Valladolid | 0:3 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Malaga | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Andorra | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Sociedad B | 1:3 | W |