Alverca vs Moreirense
Final Result
2:1
Alverca to win
Our Prediction
Correct
39.9%
Alverca to win
±14.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca wins |
39.94%
±14.64%
|
2.70 | +7.8% |
| Draw |
29.93%
±2.52%
|
2.91 | -12.9% |
| Moreirense wins |
30.13%
±12.7%
|
2.73 | -17.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Moreirense
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alverca
Moreirense
Shots
9.6
9.9
Shots On Target
3.9
3.8
Corners
4.0
4.0
Fouls
11.4
14.4
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alverca
Moreirense
Shots
7.0
10.0
Shots On Target
2.0
3.0
Corners
2.0
6.0
Fouls
5.0
15.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alverca Wins
0Draws
0Moreirense Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2025 | Moreirense Win | 2:1 |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 4:1 | L |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:3 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 1:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 1:0 | W |
Moreirense - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 1:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 0:4 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 3:3 | D |