Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca wins |
41.35%
±14.62%
|
2.13 | -12.1% |
| Draw |
28.69%
±2.54%
|
3.20 | -8.2% |
| Nacional wins |
29.96%
±12.64%
|
3.43 | +2.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Nacional
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alverca
Nacional
Shots
9.4
10.2
Shots On Target
3.8
3.5
Corners
3.2
3.5
Fouls
14.5
13.8
Yellow Cards
2.9
3.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:4 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | AVS | 1:3 | W |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 3:2 | W |