Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath wins |
32.8%
±13.36%
|
2.28 | -25.4% |
| Draw |
34.89%
±1.96%
|
3.33 | +16.0% |
| Ayr wins |
32.31%
±12.5%
|
2.65 | -14.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arbroath
Ayr
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arbroath
Ayr
Shots
10.0
8.3
Shots On Target
4.0
3.5
Corners
5.0
4.9
Fouls
10.6
11.5
Yellow Cards
1.1
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arbroath
Ayr
Shots
7.9
11.0
Shots On Target
3.0
3.9
Corners
4.3
5.5
Fouls
10.1
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arbroath Wins
2Draws
5Ayr Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 1 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Ayr Win | 5:0 |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Ayr Win | 2:0 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
Arbroath - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Queens Park | 2:1 | L |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Morton | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Raith Rvs | 2:3 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | St Johnstone | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 1:1 | D |
Ayr - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Raith Rvs | 2:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Partick | 2:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Airdrie Utd | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Morton | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Dunfermline | 2:3 | W |