Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins |
32%
±13.84%
|
2.78 | -11.2% |
| Draw |
30.3%
±1.63%
|
3.28 | -0.8% |
| Guimaraes wins |
37.7%
±13.77%
|
2.43 | -8.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arouca
Guimaraes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arouca
Guimaraes
Shots
11.5
13.4
Shots On Target
3.7
3.2
Corners
4.2
4.4
Fouls
12.5
16.1
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.5
Red Cards
0.4
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arouca
Guimaraes
Shots
10.4
13.7
Shots On Target
3.9
5.1
Corners
3.9
6.6
Fouls
12.2
12.8
Yellow Cards
3.8
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arouca Wins
2Draws
4Guimaraes Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 0:1 |
| 18 May 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:3 |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 2:1 |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 0:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 4:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |