Arouca vs Moreirense
Final Result
0:2
Moreirense to win
Our Prediction
Missed
39.1%
Arouca to win
±14.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins |
39.14%
±14.73%
|
2.56 | +0.2% |
| Draw |
29.36%
±2.32%
|
3.23 | -5.3% |
| Moreirense wins |
31.5%
±13.1%
|
2.65 | -16.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arouca
Moreirense
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arouca
Moreirense
Shots
9.1
9.4
Shots On Target
2.9
3.0
Corners
3.7
3.9
Fouls
15.4
15.1
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arouca
Moreirense
Shots
14.5
9.7
Shots On Target
3.5
3.5
Corners
6.8
3.8
Fouls
11.7
14.3
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arouca Wins
1Draws
1Moreirense Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | Arouca Win | 1:0 |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Moreirense Win | 3:1 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Moreirense Win | 1:0 |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Moreirense Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Benfica | 5:0 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Porto | 0:4 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Nacional | 1:2 | W |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:2 | L |
Moreirense - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2025 | Porto | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Nacional | 3:2 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Casa Pia | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 3:0 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Rio Ave | 3:1 | W |