Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins |
4.25%
±3.04%
|
11.00 | -53.2% |
| Draw |
17.29%
±4.74%
|
5.75 | -0.6% |
| Sp Lisbon wins |
78.46%
±7.71%
|
1.23 | -3.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arouca
Sp Lisbon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arouca
Sp Lisbon
Shots
10.2
19.4
Shots On Target
2.7
7.9
Corners
3.9
7.0
Fouls
12.8
12.9
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arouca
Sp Lisbon
Shots
8.7
17.0
Shots On Target
3.4
6.8
Corners
2.8
6.2
Fouls
13.7
9.2
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arouca Wins
1Draws
2Sp Lisbon Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 6:0 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 13 Sep 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:1 |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | W |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 4:0 | W |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | AVS | 6:0 | W |