Arsenal vs Aston Villa
Final Result
4:1
Arsenal to win
Our Prediction
Correct
59.5%
Arsenal to win
±13.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
59.51%
±13.32%
|
1.43 | -14.9% |
| Draw |
26.5%
±5.59%
|
4.75 | +25.9% |
| Aston Villa wins |
13.99%
±7.91%
|
6.75 | -5.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Shots
14.7
12.4
Shots On Target
5.6
5.5
Corners
4.4
4.9
Fouls
9.0
10.7
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Shots
16.0
9.6
Shots On Target
5.7
3.9
Corners
5.9
3.5
Fouls
11.3
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
5Draws
1Aston Villa Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:2 |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Aston Villa Win | 0:2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 1:0 |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Man United | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 2:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 3:4 | W |