Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
63.4%
±12.96%
|
1.42 | -9.7% |
| Draw |
24.6%
±5.88%
|
4.78 | +17.5% |
| Brighton wins |
12%
±7.22%
|
6.88 | -17.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Brighton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arsenal
Brighton
Shots
13.9
15.0
Shots On Target
5.5
4.7
Corners
4.7
5.5
Fouls
8.7
11.2
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Brighton
Shots
14.9
11.7
Shots On Target
4.9
3.0
Corners
6.5
4.5
Fouls
10.5
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
5Draws
3Brighton Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:3 |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Arsenal Win | 2:0 |
| 14 May 2023 | Brighton Win | 0:3 |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 3:4 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | W |