Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
55.42%
±14.34%
|
1.62 | -10.5% |
| Draw |
27.54%
±5.21%
|
3.90 | +7.4% |
| Chelsea wins |
17.04%
±9.34%
|
5.38 | -8.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Chelsea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arsenal
Chelsea
Shots
14.0
12.9
Shots On Target
4.9
4.1
Corners
5.8
6.5
Fouls
10.9
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Chelsea
Shots
12.8
11.8
Shots On Target
4.5
3.2
Corners
4.6
4.4
Fouls
10.6
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
6Draws
3Chelsea Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Arsenal Win | 1:0 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Arsenal Win | 5:0 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 1:4 | W |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 2:2 | D |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | 3:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 0:4 | W |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Leeds | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | West Ham | 3:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1:3 | W |