Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
52.91%
±14.32%
|
1.60 | -15.3% |
| Draw |
28.07%
±4.71%
|
4.22 | +18.3% |
| Liverpool wins |
19.02%
±9.86%
|
5.00 | -4.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Liverpool
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arsenal
Liverpool
Shots
15.9
14.5
Shots On Target
5.7
3.9
Corners
4.2
5.8
Fouls
9.7
9.8
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Liverpool
Shots
10.0
12.8
Shots On Target
3.9
4.4
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
2.8
3.9
Fouls
11.2
11.4
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
2Draws
4Liverpool Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Liverpool Win | 1:0 |
| 11 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Arsenal Win | 3:1 |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 2:3 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 4:1 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 2:0 | W |