Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Final Result
2:1
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Missed
56.8%
Arsenal to win
±12.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
13.81%
±7.95%
|
4.10 | -43.4% |
| Draw |
29.43%
±4.51%
|
3.45 | +1.5% |
| Arsenal wins |
56.76%
±12.22%
|
1.92 | +8.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Shots
12.3
14.8
Shots On Target
4.8
5.7
Corners
5.0
6.4
Fouls
9.9
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Shots
9.6
15.8
Shots On Target
3.9
5.0
Corners
4.0
5.9
Fouls
12.4
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
4Draws
1Arsenal Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:2 |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Aston Villa Win | 0:2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 1:0 |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Arsenal Win | 2:4 |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 3:4 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Wolves | 1:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Leeds | 1:2 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 4:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Sunderland | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Burnley | 0:2 | W |