Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
Final Result
4:0
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Correct
37.3%
Aston Villa to win
±14%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
37.26%
±13.99%
|
2.18 | -19.0% |
| Draw |
31.68%
±2.26%
|
3.45 | +9.3% |
| Bournemouth wins |
31.06%
±12.47%
|
3.25 | +0.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Shots
10.3
12.0
Shots On Target
3.1
4.6
Corners
5.3
5.5
Fouls
9.7
12.4
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Shots
14.6
11.9
Shots On Target
4.9
4.6
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
6.6
5.7
Fouls
11.9
14.9
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
3Draws
2Bournemouth Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Aston Villa Win | 3:1 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 3:0 |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Man City | 1:0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Fulham | 3:1 | W |
Bournemouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3:1 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 2:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Crystal Palace | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Fulham | 3:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Leeds | 2:2 | D |