Aston Villa vs Brighton
Final Result
1:0
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Correct
43.2%
Aston Villa to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
43.19%
±14.5%
|
1.90 | -17.7% |
| Draw |
30.12%
±3.13%
|
3.73 | +12.2% |
| Brighton wins |
26.69%
±11.79%
|
3.78 | +0.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Brighton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Aston Villa
Brighton
Shots
13.3
12.3
Shots On Target
4.8
3.5
Corners
5.4
4.3
Fouls
10.0
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Brighton
Shots
10.5
12.5
Shots On Target
4.6
4.4
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.9
5.9
Fouls
11.4
15.0
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
3.4
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
7Draws
2Brighton Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 3:4 |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 0:3 |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 5 May 2024 | Brighton Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 6:1 |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:0 | D |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Man City | 1:1 | D |