Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Final Result
1:4
Chelsea to win
Our Prediction
Correct
38.5%
Chelsea to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
29.9%
±13.26%
|
2.65 | -20.8% |
| Draw |
31.63%
±1.72%
|
3.50 | +10.7% |
| Chelsea wins |
38.47%
±13.54%
|
2.53 | -2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Shots
14.8
12.4
Shots On Target
4.2
4.1
Corners
5.8
6.9
Fouls
10.7
9.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Shots
11.2
15.7
Shots On Target
4.8
5.4
Corners
5.0
5.3
Fouls
11.1
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
5Draws
1Chelsea Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 1:2 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Chelsea Win | 3:0 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 0:1 |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 2:0 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Leeds | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Brighton | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:1 | L |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Leeds | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | West Ham | 3:2 | W |