English Premier League 21 Dec 2025 11:30 Match Finished

Aston Villa vs Man United

Our Prediction Missed
35.8% Man United to win

±13.4%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Aston Villa wins
33.15% ±13.8%
2.10 -30.4%
Draw
31% ±1.71%
3.65 +13.2%
Man United wins
35.85% ±13.36%
3.28 +17.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Aston Villa
Man United

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Aston Villa
Man United
Shots 12.4 17.1
Shots On Target 5.2 6.3
Corners 4.9 4.8
Fouls 10.4 10.9
Yellow Cards 1.4 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Aston Villa
Man United
Shots 9.9 16.5
Shots On Target 4.3 6.1
Hit On Woodwork 0.0 0.0
Corners 5.5 4.6
Fouls 9.8 12.8
Free Kicks Conceded 0.0 0.0
Offsides 0.0 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.6 2.4
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Aston Villa Wins

2

Draws

2

Man United Wins

6
Date Result Score
25 May 2025 Man United Win 2:0
6 Oct 2024 Draw 0:0
11 Feb 2024 Man United Win 1:2
26 Dec 2023 Man United Win 3:2
30 Apr 2023 Man United Win 1:0

Aston Villa - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
14 Dec 2025 West Ham 2:3 W
6 Dec 2025 Arsenal 2:1 W
3 Dec 2025 Brighton 3:4 W
30 Nov 2025 Wolves 1:0 W
23 Nov 2025 Leeds 1:2 W

Man United - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
15 Dec 2025 Bournemouth 4:4 D
8 Dec 2025 Wolves 1:4 W
4 Dec 2025 West Ham 1:1 D
30 Nov 2025 Crystal Palace 1:2 W
24 Nov 2025 Everton 0:1 L