Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
30.36%
±13.22%
|
2.62 | -20.6% |
| Draw |
30.14%
±1.71%
|
3.30 | -0.6% |
| Milan wins |
39.51%
±13.55%
|
2.70 | +6.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Milan
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Atalanta
Milan
Shots
15.5
14.8
Shots On Target
5.0
4.9
Corners
6.2
4.1
Fouls
10.0
9.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Milan
Shots
12.6
11.9
Shots On Target
4.3
4.5
Corners
5.5
3.6
Fouls
13.7
11.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
4Draws
2Milan Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2025 | Atalanta Win | 0:1 |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Atalanta Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Atalanta Win | 3:2 |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Milan Win | 2:0 |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Cremonese | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Lazio | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Como | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Torino | 0:3 | W |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | Pisa | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Fiorentina | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Juventus | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Napoli | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Udinese | 0:3 | W |