Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
37.31%
±14.54%
|
2.45 | -8.6% |
| Draw |
30.39%
±2.12%
|
3.20 | -2.7% |
| Napoli wins |
32.3%
±13.17%
|
3.00 | -3.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Napoli
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Atalanta
Napoli
Shots
14.2
13.8
Shots On Target
4.5
4.5
Corners
5.7
4.6
Fouls
13.5
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Napoli
Shots
14.7
11.2
Shots On Target
4.7
4.6
Corners
5.0
4.2
Fouls
14.0
10.4
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
4Draws
0Napoli Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Napoli Win | 3:1 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Napoli Win | 2:3 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Atalanta Win | 0:3 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Atalanta Win | 0:3 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Napoli Win | 1:2 |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Lazio | 0:2 | W |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Cremonese | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Como | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Parma | 4:0 | W |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Pisa | 1:1 | D |
Napoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Roma | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Genoa | 2:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Fiorentina | 2:1 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 3:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:0 | W |