Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
40.26%
±14.49%
|
2.25 | -9.4% |
| Draw |
30.32%
±2.61%
|
3.25 | -1.5% |
| Roma wins |
29.41%
±12.44%
|
3.30 | -2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Roma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Atalanta
Roma
Shots
14.3
13.6
Shots On Target
4.0
5.1
Corners
5.8
5.2
Fouls
11.1
13.8
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Roma
Shots
12.7
11.0
Shots On Target
5.5
3.6
Corners
4.7
3.2
Fouls
13.0
14.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
6Draws
2Roma Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2025 | Atalanta Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Dec 2024 | Atalanta Win | 0:2 |
| 12 May 2024 | Atalanta Win | 2:1 |
| 7 Jan 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 24 Apr 2023 | Atalanta Win | 3:1 |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Genoa | 0:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Cagliari | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Verona | 3:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Fiorentina | 2:0 | W |
Roma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Genoa | 3:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Juventus | 2:1 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Como | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Cagliari | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Napoli | 0:1 | L |