La Liga Primera Division 3 Dec 2025 13:00 Match Finished

Ath Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Our Prediction Correct
58.9% Real Madrid to win

±12.8%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Ath Bilbao wins
14.59% ±8.69%
4.15 -39.5%
Draw
26.49% ±4.31%
3.85 +2.0%
Real Madrid wins
58.92% ±12.77%
1.80 +6.1%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Ath Bilbao
Real Madrid

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Ath Bilbao
Real Madrid
Shots 13.2 20.5
Shots On Target 4.1 7.1
Corners 4.7 6.2
Fouls 13.5 10.7
Yellow Cards 1.8 1.8
Red Cards 0.2 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Ath Bilbao
Real Madrid
Shots 11.4 12.0
Shots On Target 2.9 4.8
Corners 6.3 4.4
Fouls 14.5 8.7
Yellow Cards 2.7 2.0
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Ath Bilbao Wins

1

Draws

1

Real Madrid Wins

8
Date Result Score
20 Apr 2025 Real Madrid Win 1:0
4 Dec 2024 Ath Bilbao Win 2:1
31 Mar 2024 Real Madrid Win 2:0
12 Aug 2023 Real Madrid Win 0:2
4 Jun 2023 Draw 1:1

Ath Bilbao - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
29 Nov 2025 Levante 0:2 W
22 Nov 2025 Barcelona 4:0 L
9 Nov 2025 Oviedo 1:0 W
1 Nov 2025 Sociedad 3:2 L
25 Oct 2025 Getafe 0:1 L

Real Madrid - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
30 Nov 2025 Girona 1:1 D
23 Nov 2025 Elche 2:2 D
9 Nov 2025 Vallecano 0:0 D
1 Nov 2025 Valencia 4:0 W
26 Oct 2025 Barcelona 2:1 W