Ath Madrid vs Alaves
Final Result
1:0
Ath Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
68.3%
Ath Madrid to win
±11.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ath Madrid wins |
68.3%
±11.78%
|
1.32 | -10.2% |
| Draw |
21.61%
±5.68%
|
5.25 | +13.5% |
| Alaves wins |
10.09%
±6.2%
|
9.63 | -2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ath Madrid
Alaves
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ath Madrid
Alaves
Shots
12.4
11.4
Shots On Target
5.3
3.5
Corners
7.4
3.7
Fouls
11.5
14.6
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ath Madrid
Alaves
Shots
12.1
6.4
Shots On Target
5.1
1.7
Corners
6.1
2.0
Fouls
13.3
14.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ath Madrid Wins
6Draws
2Alaves Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 3 May 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Ath Madrid Win | 2:1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Alaves Win | 2:0 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Ath Madrid Win | 2:1 |
Ath Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sociedad | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Girona | 0:3 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Valencia | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 1:0 | L |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Barcelona | 3:1 | L |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Villarreal | 3:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Oviedo | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Osasuna | 3:0 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Real Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sociedad | 1:0 | W |