Bayern Munich vs Mainz
Final Result
2:2
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
87.9%
Bayern Munich to win
±5.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins |
87.86%
±5.52%
|
1.10 | -3.4% |
| Draw |
9.79%
±3.76%
|
11.25 | +10.1% |
| Mainz wins |
2.35%
±1.78%
|
20.50 | -51.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bayern Munich
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bayern Munich
Mainz
Shots
18.8
9.5
Shots On Target
7.5
2.7
Corners
5.9
4.6
Fouls
9.4
13.7
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bayern Munich
Mainz
Shots
16.0
12.2
Shots On Target
6.1
4.4
Corners
6.2
3.8
Fouls
10.1
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bayern Munich Wins
6Draws
0Mainz Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | Bayern Munich Win | 3:0 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Mainz Win | 2:1 |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Bayern Munich Win | 8:1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Bayern Munich Win | 1:3 |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Mainz Win | 3:1 |
Bayern Munich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Stuttgart | 0:5 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | St Pauli | 3:1 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 6:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Leverkusen | 3:0 | W |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 4:0 | L |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:1 | D |