Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
76.18%
±10.17%
|
1.17 | -11.2% |
| Draw |
16.89%
±5.43%
|
7.13 | +20.3% |
| Arouca wins |
6.93%
±4.81%
|
13.50 | -6.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Benfica
Arouca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Benfica
Arouca
Shots
14.0
9.6
Shots On Target
5.2
3.2
Corners
4.8
4.0
Fouls
13.2
15.1
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Benfica
Arouca
Shots
13.1
7.0
Shots On Target
6.0
1.7
Corners
3.9
2.4
Fouls
10.9
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Benfica Wins
7Draws
1Arouca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Benfica Win | 0:2 |
| 12 May 2024 | Benfica Win | 5:0 |
| 6 Jan 2024 | Benfica Win | 0:3 |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Benfica Win | 0:3 |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Porto | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | AVS | 0:3 | W |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:1 | D |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Porto | 0:4 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Nacional | 1:2 | W |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:2 | L |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Guimaraes | 1:1 | D |