Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
82.87%
±7.44%
|
1.12 | -7.2% |
| Draw |
13.22%
±4.68%
|
8.50 | +12.3% |
| Estrela wins |
3.92%
±2.81%
|
18.25 | -28.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Benfica
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Benfica
Estrela
Shots
17.8
11.3
Shots On Target
6.4
3.8
Corners
6.7
2.7
Fouls
11.0
15.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Benfica
Estrela
Shots
17.4
8.4
Shots On Target
7.4
2.2
Corners
7.6
3.2
Fouls
15.4
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Benfica Wins
5Draws
0Estrela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Benfica Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Benfica Win | 2:3 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Benfica Win | 1:0 |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Benfica Win | 1:4 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Benfica Win | 2:0 |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:4 | W |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 0:5 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Porto | 3:1 | L |