Birmingham vs Coventry
Final Result
3:2
Birmingham to win
Our Prediction
Missed
36.1%
Coventry to win
±13.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins |
34.9%
±13.96%
|
2.53 | -11.9% |
| Draw |
28.96%
±1.67%
|
3.40 | -1.5% |
| Coventry wins |
36.14%
±13.38%
|
2.65 | -4.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Birmingham
Coventry
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Birmingham
Coventry
Shots
15.0
17.7
Shots On Target
4.1
6.2
Corners
5.5
4.9
Fouls
11.5
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Birmingham
Coventry
Shots
10.2
12.1
Shots On Target
2.6
4.1
Corners
5.0
4.6
Fouls
12.3
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.6
0.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Birmingham Wins
1Draws
4Coventry Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Coventry Win | 3:0 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Birmingham Win | 3:0 |
| 8 Dec 2023 | Coventry Win | 2:0 |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Coventry Win | 2:0 |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Watford | 3:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Derby | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 3:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Charlton | 1:1 | D |
Coventry - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Ipswich | 0:2 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Swansea | 1:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 1:0 | W |